MAC090A-0-ZD-4-C-110-A-0-WI524X-S001中國信息通信研究院工業(yè)經濟研究中心研究員董溫彥判斷，當前工業(yè)利潤總體處于底部震蕩調整階段，尚未構成筑底企穩(wěn)的信號。她表示：從行業(yè)看，利潤分化仍然持續(xù)，采礦業(yè)利潤大幅下降成為一種常態(tài)。值得注意的是，制造業(yè)利潤呈現出趨勢性下滑的態(tài)勢，近期呈現出上游利潤惡化向下游傳導影響特征，通用設備、專用設備、汽車等機械行業(yè)利潤情況不佳。工業(yè)生產領域價格收縮長期化，對企業(yè)生產、利潤和投資等均造成不利影響，持續(xù)下去的累積效應將會進一步影響企業(yè)預期和信心，對經濟運行將帶來內生收縮效應，企業(yè)利潤短期內難以形成筑底企穩(wěn)態(tài)勢。
MAC090A-0-ZD-4-C-110-A-0-WI524X-S001對于工業(yè)經濟當前面臨的困局，原磊建議，在拓寬投資領域，積極擴大消費，以及鼓勵高加工度產品出口的同時，實施援助政策，緩解企業(yè)困難。一是創(chuàng)新融資方式，加大金融支持。考慮進一步降息、降準，增加貨幣供給；并針對中小企業(yè)，創(chuàng)新融資方式，利用綜合授信、買方信貸、個人信貸等方式為那些有市場前景，但面臨短期困難的企業(yè)提供流動資金。二是由國家負擔費用，對企業(yè)經營管理人員、技術工人、普通員工進行培訓。利用空閑時間進行培訓是發(fā)達國家應對經濟危機的重要手段。三是降低中小企業(yè)稅負，降低或取消中小企業(yè)的營業(yè)稅；規(guī)定在經營困難時期，中小企業(yè)申請獲批后，可緩繳員工的“五險一金”。四是建立庫存預警機制，對企業(yè)庫存變動情況進行實時監(jiān)測。企業(yè)根據市場預期的變化增加或減少庫存往往能夠加劇工業(yè)經濟增速的波動，并帶來一系列的金融風險和財務風險。為降低企業(yè)個體行為的盲目性，國家應建立庫存預警機制，定期公布不同行業(yè)的庫存總量、庫存增速、庫存周轉率、庫MAC090A-0-ZD-4-C-110-A-0-WI524X-S001存周轉天數等指標，為企業(yè)調整生產規(guī)模提供信息。五是鼓勵企業(yè)創(chuàng)新，對創(chuàng)新行為給予更大的空間，尤其是在物聯網、大數據等一些新興領域里，盡量避免對企業(yè)的經營范圍和方式進行限制。
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