8月份最新調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)顯示,中國制造業(yè)運(yùn)行出現(xiàn)逾6年來最顯著放緩,新業(yè)務(wù)總量和新出口訂單量皆較7月份加速下降,導(dǎo)致產(chǎn)出創(chuàng)下2011年11月以來最大收縮率。生產(chǎn)需求下降,企業(yè)相應(yīng)壓縮采購,采購數(shù)量創(chuàng)下2009年3月以來最顯著減幅??蛻粜枨笃H鮿t導(dǎo)致成品庫存在6個(gè)月來首次出現(xiàn)積壓。同時(shí),需求減弱也造成月內(nèi)投入成本與產(chǎn)出價(jià)格的大幅下降。作為一個(gè)以單一數(shù)值概括制造業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行狀況的綜合指標(biāo),財(cái)新中國通用制造業(yè)采購經(jīng)理人指數(shù)(PMI?)8月份數(shù)值(經(jīng)季節(jié)性調(diào)整)錄得47.3,略高于此前發(fā)布的初值(47.1),但低于7月份(47.8),并且是連續(xù)第六個(gè)月低于50.0臨界值,而本月制造業(yè)運(yùn)行放緩程度更是2009年3月以來最顯著。
KDA2.18月份數(shù)據(jù)顯示,中國制造業(yè)新接業(yè)務(wù)總量連續(xù)第二個(gè)月呈現(xiàn)收縮,并且創(chuàng)下17個(gè)月來最顯著收縮率。受訪廠商普遍表示,月內(nèi)市況惡化導(dǎo)致海內(nèi)外客戶需求減弱。同時(shí),新出口業(yè)務(wù)量也創(chuàng)下逾兩年來最大降幅。鑒于客戶需求減弱,制造商在8月份收縮生產(chǎn)規(guī)模,本月產(chǎn)出收縮率創(chuàng)下2011年11月以來最高紀(jì)錄。8月份,生產(chǎn)需求下降,導(dǎo)致制造商進(jìn)一步壓縮采購,采購減幅較7月份加劇,為2009年3月以來最顯著。因此,月內(nèi)采購庫存下降,但降幅尚小。成品庫存則相反,在8月份出現(xiàn)輕微上升,許多廠商表示銷量下降,導(dǎo)致成品庫存積壓。
KDA2.18月份,中國制造業(yè)連續(xù)22個(gè)月壓縮用工,用工收縮率超過7月份,接近6月份創(chuàng)下的76個(gè)月最高紀(jì)錄。月內(nèi)積壓工作量連續(xù)第四個(gè)月上升,但幅度輕微。8月份,中國制造業(yè)總體投入成本進(jìn)一步下降,許多受訪廠商表示原因與原料成本下降有關(guān)。投入品價(jià)格降幅雖然較7月份放緩,但整體仍屬可觀。與成本負(fù)擔(dān)的趨勢一樣,制造業(yè)產(chǎn)品的出廠價(jià)格在8月份也有下降,目前該輪降價(jià)趨勢已延續(xù)13個(gè)月。調(diào)查顯示,受訪廠商通過降價(jià)把投入成本的降幅傳導(dǎo)至客戶,同時(shí)也是為了吸引新業(yè)務(wù)。
KDA2.18月份,財(cái)新中國綜合PMI?數(shù)據(jù)(包括制造業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè))顯示,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)活動總量重現(xiàn)放緩,財(cái)新綜合產(chǎn)出指數(shù)從7月份的50.2降至48.8,低于50.0臨界值,收縮率雖然尚小,但已創(chuàng)下2009年2月以來最顯著產(chǎn)出收縮率。8月份,整體產(chǎn)出重現(xiàn)收縮,主要是受制造業(yè)生產(chǎn)加速收縮所影響,月內(nèi)制造業(yè)產(chǎn)量創(chuàng)下45個(gè)月以來最大減幅。同時(shí),服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)營活動增速放緩,對綜合指數(shù)也有拖累。財(cái)新中國通用服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)營活動指數(shù)在8月份錄得51.5,低于7月份(53.8),創(chuàng)下本輪13個(gè)月擴(kuò)張期的最低增速記錄。
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